The passage of Russian missiles over the territory of Romania, in all likelihood, will not provoke an escalation between Russia and NATO countries, Romania denies the passage, claiming that the missile flew 35 km to the border.
This is stated in the report of the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW), reports Depo.ua.
Recall that yesterday, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny said that two Russian Caliber cruise missiles flew into the airspace of Moldova and Romania. They were launched from the Black Sea.
Moldova confirmed that a Russian missile crossed the country’s airspace.
At the same time, the Romanian Defense Ministry denies this information and notes that the missile flew 35 km from the border.
The Romanian Air Force’s surveillance system said it detected a Russian missile heading for Ukraine on February 10. However, it did not cross Romanian airspace.
“The aerial surveillance system of the Romanian Air Force recorded on Friday, February 10, an aerial target launched from the Black Sea from a ship of the Russian Federation, near the Crimean peninsula, most likely a cruise missile,” the message says.
According to the Air Force, the missile entered Ukrainian airspace and then crossed the Moldovan border. However, she never flew over Romania.
“The closest point of the target’s trajectory to Romanian airspace was recorded by radar systems approximately 35 km northeast of the border,” the defense ministry said.
To control the airspace, Romania lifted two aircraft into the air.
ISW writes that massive missile strikes will continue to create peripheral risks outside of Ukraine, such as yesterday’s overflights or the risk of air defense incidents, as in Poland on November 15, 2022.
According to the ISW, NATO and individual member states have full control over their actions and the degree of escalation in response to accidental or deliberate overflights of Russian aircraft and missiles. ISW experts also believe that Russian President Vladimir Putin does not seek war with NATO and is unlikely to directly risk escalation.
Source: DEPO